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Storm vs Bulldogs Prediction & Match Analysis — NRL Round 22 2026
A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages — head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side.
Bulldogs by 1-6
Model score: Storm 18 — 21 Bulldogs
Total points: the model's 39-point expected total sits in line with a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).
How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty — injuries and team news can move it.
What the numbers say
Across their last 5 meetings it is Storm 3, Bulldogs 2, averaging 39.2 total points per game. Storm have won 2 of their last 5. Bulldogs have won 4 of their last 5.
Last 5 meetings: Storm 3, Bulldogs 2 — averaging 39.2 total points per game.
- 26 — 28 @ Rabbitohs24 July 2026
- 6 — 14 @ Roosters17 July 2026
- 22 — 18 v Titans12 July 2026
- 4 — 30 @ Sea Eagles27 June 2026
- 42 — 20 v Raiders21 June 2026
- 18 — 6 v Warriors25 July 2026
- 32 — 0 v Wests Tigers18 July 2026
- 16 — 40 v Raiders11 July 2026
- 30 — 12 @ Titans26 June 2026
- 13 — 12 v Sea Eagles20 June 2026
Storm
- Sualauvi Faalogo
82.4 SC avg · 0.7 tries · 202m run · 4.4 tackles (19 games)
- Ativalu Lisati
68.2 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 115m run · 38.8 tackles (10 games)
- Harry Grant
67.8 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 55m run · 38.4 tackles (18 games)
- Jahrome Hughes
66.7 SC avg · 0.2 tries · 88m run · 15.3 tackles (16 games)
Bulldogs
- Jacob Kiraz
67.9 SC avg · 0.5 tries · 183m run · 4.4 tackles (14 games)
- Lachlan Galvin
67.7 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 117m run · 23.2 tackles (18 games)
- Jacob Preston
65.1 SC avg · 0.4 tries · 93m run · 33.4 tackles (14 games)
- Sitili Tupouniua
64.4 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 112m run · 31.0 tackles (14 games)
Go deeper before lockout
Full projections, DVP and prop hit rates for members — plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.
More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 22 match previews page, with deeper club data on the Storm and Bulldogs team hubs.
Every published play, graded — Best Plays Tracker