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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 18 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

5 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 18. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 18 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 18

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 70.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.6 above the competition average of 58.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Joey Walsh (Five-Eighth), Jamal Fogarty (Halfback)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 72.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.7 above the competition average of 63.2 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jahream Bula (Fullback)

Knights logo

Knights middle forwards vs Dolphins

Softest of 17

Dolphins concede 57.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Jacob Saifiti (Prop), Trey Mooney (Prop), Mat Croker (Lock), Cody Hopwood (Prop)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 46.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 9.9 below the competition average of 56.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Dayne Jennings (Winger), Edward Kosi (Winger)

Sharks logo

Sharks middle forwards vs Broncos

2nd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 50.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.4 below the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Hazelton (Prop), Jesse Colquhoun (Prop), Cameron McInnes (Lock)

Panthers vs Rabbitohs

Friday Night · 3 July · CommBank Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 46.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 9.9 below the competition average of 56.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Dayne Jennings (Winger), Edward Kosi (Winger)

Panthers logo

Panthers hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.1 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Freddy Lussick (Hooker)

Dragons vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Evening · 4 July · Jubilee Oval
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 72.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.7 above the competition average of 63.2 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jahream Bula (Fullback)

Dragons logo

Dragons hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 55.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.5 above the competition average of 50.0 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Damien Cook (Hooker)

Broncos vs Sharks

Saturday Night · 4 July · Suncorp Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks middle forwards vs Broncos

2nd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 50.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.4 below the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Hazelton (Prop), Jesse Colquhoun (Prop), Cameron McInnes (Lock)

Broncos logo

Broncos halves vs Sharks

3rd toughest of 17

Sharks concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.0 below the competition average of 58.5 across 43 player-games.

Named there: Thomas Duffy (Five-Eighth), Ben Hunt (Halfback)

Eels vs Sea Eagles

Sunday Day · 5 July · CommBank Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 70.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.6 above the competition average of 58.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Joey Walsh (Five-Eighth), Jamal Fogarty (Halfback)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles centres vs Eels

5th softest of 17

Eels concede 63.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 6.0 above the competition average of 57.5 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Clayton Faulalo (Centre), Reuben Garrick (Centre)

Knights vs Dolphins

Sunday Day · 5 July · McDonald Jones Stadium
Knights logo

Knights middle forwards vs Dolphins

Softest of 17

Dolphins concede 57.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 53.5 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Jacob Saifiti (Prop), Trey Mooney (Prop), Mat Croker (Lock), Cody Hopwood (Prop)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 72.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 8.8 above the competition average of 63.2 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Trai Fuller (Fullback)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 18 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 18 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 18 late mail.

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