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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 25 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 25. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 25 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 25

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Dragons logo

Dragons edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Dylan Egan (Second Row), Hamish Stewart (Second Row)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kodi Nikorima (Five-Eighth), Isaiya Katoa (Halfback)

Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Brandon Smith (Hooker)

Panthers logo

Panthers centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Izack Tago (Centre), Casey McLean (Centre)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jahream Bula (Fullback)

Storm vs Panthers

Thursday Night · 20 August · AAMI Park
Panthers logo

Panthers centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Izack Tago (Centre), Casey McLean (Centre)

Storm logo

Storm wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown (Winger), Moses Leo (Winger)

Raiders vs Broncos

Friday Evening · 21 August · GIO Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Jaiyden Hunt (Second Row), Jordan Riki (Second Row)

Raiders logo

Raiders middle forwards vs Broncos

3rd toughest of 17

Broncos concede 51.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 2.9 below the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Josh Papalii (Prop), Joseph Tapine (Prop), Ata Mariota (Lock)

Dolphins vs Eels

Friday Night · 21 August · Suncorp Stadium
Dolphins logo

Dolphins halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Kodi Nikorima (Five-Eighth), Isaiya Katoa (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Brian Kelly (Winger), Josh Addo-Carr (Winger)

Knights vs Sea Eagles

Saturday Day · 22 August · McDonald Jones Stadium
Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Tom Trbojevic (Fullback)

Sea Eagles logo

Sea Eagles edge forwards vs Knights

2nd toughest of 17

Knights concede 58.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Haumole Olakau'atu (Second Row), Ben Trbojevic (Second Row)

Rabbitohs vs Warriors

Saturday Evening · 22 August · Accor Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Brandon Smith (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.9 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Wayde Egan (Hooker)

Dragons vs Bulldogs

Saturday Night · 22 August · Allianz Stadium
Dragons logo

Dragons edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Dylan Egan (Second Row), Hamish Stewart (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Connor Tracey (Fullback)

Titans vs Sharks

Sunday Day · 23 August · Cbus Super Stadium
Sharks logo

Sharks middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: Addin Fonua-Blake (Prop), Jesse Colquhoun (Prop), Thomas Hazelton (Lock)

Sharks logo

Sharks centres vs Titans

2nd softest of 17

Titans concede 66.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 7.8 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Mawene Hiroti (Centre), KL Iro (Centre)

Roosters vs Wests Tigers

Sunday Day · 23 August · Allianz Stadium
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Jahream Bula (Fullback)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers wingers vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 46.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.5 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Junior Tupou (Winger), Jeral Skelton (Winger)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 25 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 25 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 25 late mail.

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