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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 26 2026 Predictions, Tips & Analysis

8 games

Who wins each game in Round 26? A free, data-led call for every fixture — predicted winner, margin band and the key stat angles behind it — plus links to the full preview and match centre for each game.

Broncos logo
Storm logo

Broncos vs Storm

Thursday Night · 27 AugustSuncorp Stadium

Storm by 1-6

Model score 2226 · Expected total 48 points

  • Broncos have won 1 of their last 5; Storm have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Broncos are averaging 17.6 points a game in that stretch, while Storm have conceded 24 a game.
  • Broncos have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 42 total points.
Sea Eagles logo
Dragons logo

Sea Eagles vs Dragons

Friday Evening · 28 August4 Pines Park

Line-ball: too close to split

Model score 2727 · Expected total 53 points

  • Sea Eagles have won 1 of their last 5; Dragons have won 2 of their last 5.
  • Sea Eagles are averaging 21.6 points a game in that stretch, while Dragons have conceded 29.6 a game.
  • Sea Eagles have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 44.8 total points.
Panthers logo
Bulldogs logo

Panthers vs Bulldogs

Friday Night · 28 AugustCommBank Stadium

Line-ball: too close to split

Model score 2020 · Expected total 40 points

  • Panthers have won 3 of their last 5; Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Panthers are averaging 21.2 points a game in that stretch, while Bulldogs have conceded 16.8 a game.
  • Panthers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 38.4 total points.
Titans logo
Rabbitohs logo

Titans vs Rabbitohs

Saturday Day · 29 AugustCbus Super Stadium

Rabbitohs by 1-6

Model score 2427 · Expected total 51 points

  • Titans have won 1 of their last 5; Rabbitohs have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Titans are averaging 20 points a game in that stretch, while Rabbitohs have conceded 26.6 a game.
  • Rabbitohs have won 5 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 51.6 total points.
Roosters logo
Dolphins logo

Roosters vs Dolphins

Saturday Evening · 29 AugustAllianz Stadium

Roosters by 1-6

Model score 2623 · Expected total 49 points

  • Roosters have won 4 of their last 5; Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5.
  • Roosters are averaging 32.2 points a game in that stretch, while Dolphins have conceded 17.2 a game.
  • Roosters have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 62.8 total points.
Cowboys logo
Wests Tigers logo

Cowboys vs Wests Tigers

Saturday Night · 29 AugustQueensland Country Bank Stadium

Cowboys by 1-6

Model score 2723 · Expected total 50 points

  • Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5; Wests Tigers have won 1 of their last 5.
  • Cowboys are averaging 21.2 points a game in that stretch, while Wests Tigers have conceded 30.4 a game.
  • Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 66 total points.
Warriors logo
Knights logo

Warriors vs Knights

Sunday Day · 30 AugustGo Media Stadium

Warriors by 7-12

Model score 2920 · Expected total 49 points

  • Warriors have won 4 of their last 5; Knights have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Warriors are averaging 32.2 points a game in that stretch, while Knights have conceded 24.6 a game.
  • Warriors have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 35.4 total points.
Eels logo
Sharks logo

Eels vs Sharks

Sunday Day · 30 AugustCommBank Stadium

Sharks by 1-6

Model score 2127 · Expected total 48 points

  • Eels have won 2 of their last 5; Sharks have won 3 of their last 5.
  • Eels are averaging 21.2 points a game in that stretch, while Sharks have conceded 19.6 a game.
  • Sharks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 44.8 total points.

How these predictions are made

Every call is generated from real completed results: each club's recent points scored and conceded, matched attack against defence with a small home-ground adjustment. The same model powers the weekly predictions hub and every match preview, so the numbers always agree. It is a data lean, not a certainty — team news can move any game.

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More this round: the positional matchups behind these calls on the Round 26 matchup edge, fixtures, kickoffs and venues on the Round 26 hub, and every upcoming call on the predictions hub.