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NRL Finals Week 3 2026 Predictions, Tips & Analysis
Who wins each game in Finals Week 3? A free, data-led call for every fixture — predicted winner, margin band and the key stat angles behind it — plus links to the full preview and match centre for each game.
Dolphins vs Roosters
Dolphins by 7-12
Model score 27–17 · Expected total 44 points
- Dolphins have won 5 of their last 5; Roosters have won 1 of their last 5.
- Dolphins are averaging 26.4 points a game in that stretch, while Roosters have conceded 26 a game.
- Roosters have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 61.6 total points.
Panthers vs Knights
Panthers by 7-12
Model score 26–17 · Expected total 43 points
- Panthers have won 4 of their last 5; Knights have won 3 of their last 5.
- Panthers are averaging 21.8 points a game in that stretch, while Knights have conceded 27.2 a game.
- Panthers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 45.4 total points.
How these predictions are made
Every call is generated from real completed results: each club's recent points scored and conceded, matched attack against defence with a small home-ground adjustment. The same model powers the weekly predictions hub and every match preview, so the numbers always agree. It is a data lean, not a certainty — team news can move any game.
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More this round: the positional matchups behind these calls on the Round 30 matchup edge, fixtures, kickoffs and venues on the Round 30 hub, and every upcoming call on the predictions hub.