NFL Fantasy ADP 2026: Draft Board, Risers & Fallers

How this board works

ADP is snapshotted daily from Sleeper drafts and stored append-only, so movement is measured between real dated snapshots rather than estimated. The risers and fallers are de-noised: a player's move only counts after subtracting the median move of players priced in the same ADP band, which filters out provider-wide re-numbering, and it must clear a relative threshold so a two-spot wobble deep in the draft never reads as news. Volatility labels come from each player's own weekly scoring history over the past two seasons: high projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Safe), high projected value but a wide week-to-week range (Swing), modest projected value with a dependable week-to-week range (Steady), and modest projected value where the case rests on upside weeks (Lottery). Players with under four played games are treated as unknown-spread, never as zero risk.