Who will win Rabbitohs vs Knights?

Our form-based model leans Rabbitohs by 7-12 points, from a model score of Rabbitohs 32 to 26 Knights.

What is the Rabbitohs vs Knights prediction for NRL Round 28 2026?

Our form-based model leans Rabbitohs by 7-12 points, from a model score of Rabbitohs 32 to 26 Knights. The model expects about 58 combined points — higher-scoring than a typical NRL game. The prediction is built from each side's recent points scored and conceded, with a home-ground adjustment.

Are these Rabbitohs vs Knights tips free?

Yes. The predicted winner, margin band and total-points lean for Rabbitohs vs Knights are free and need no account. Stats Lab members also get player projections, DVP matchup tools and the multi builder for the fixture.

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Rabbitohs vs Knights Prediction Round 28 2026

Who wins Rabbitohs vs Knights? Our form-based model leans Rabbitohs by 7-12. Read the full preview below.

A free, data-led preview built from real results and season averages: head-to-head history, recent form and the key players on each side. Includes multi tips for the fixture.

Rabbitohs

Knights

Round 28 · 2026

Friday NightAllianz Stadium

Our prediction

Rabbitohs by 7-12

Model score: Rabbitohs 32–26 Knights

Total points: the model's 58-point expected total leans higher-scoring than a typical NRL game (~41 combined points).

How this works: our model averages each side's points scored and conceded across their last 5 completed games, matches attack against defence, and adds a 2-point home-ground adjustment. A data lean, not a certainty: injuries and team news can move it.

What the numbers say

Across their last 5 meetings it is Rabbitohs 1, Knights 4, averaging 51 total points per game. Rabbitohs have won 4 of their last 5. Knights have won 3 of their last 5.

Recent head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Rabbitohs 1, Knights 4, averaging 51 total points per game.

Rabbitohs 26–24 KnightsRd 19 2026 · Accor Stadium

Knights 42–38 RabbitohsRd 9 2026 · McDonald Jones Stadium

Rabbitohs 4–30 KnightsRd 9 2025 · Suncorp Stadium

Rabbitohs 16–36 KnightsRd 25 2024 · Accor Stadium

Knights 29–10 RabbitohsRd 25 2023 · McDonald Jones Stadium

Form guide: last 5 games

RabbitohsWWLWW

50–20 v Roosters4 Sept 2026
42–22 @ Titans29 Aug 2026
26–45 v Warriors22 Aug 2026
22–6 @ Bulldogs14 Aug 2026
28–24 v Eels8 Aug 2026

KnightsLLWWW

32–46 @ Warriors30 Aug 2026
24–44 v Sea Eagles22 Aug 2026
36–26 v Titans16 Aug 2026
30–24 @ Raiders9 Aug 2026
30–6 @ Broncos1 Aug 2026

Key players: season averages

Rabbitohs

Latrell Mitchell
100.6 SC avg · 1.1 tries · 119m run · 8.7 tackles (11 games)
Tallis Duncan
79.4 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 135m run · 24.4 tackles (21 games)
Alex Johnston
77.8 SC avg · 1.4 tries · 139m run · 4.8 tackles (21 games)
Latrell Siegwalt
72.8 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 117m run · 12.8 tackles (8 games)

Knights

Kalyn Ponga
80.4 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 162m run · 3.9 tackles (15 games)
Dylan Lucas
77.9 SC avg · 0.6 tries · 122m run · 37.6 tackles (16 games)
Greg Marzhew
70.0 SC avg · 1.0 tries · 186m run · 1.7 tackles (23 games)
Bradman Best
69.1 SC avg · 0.3 tries · 137m run · 13.4 tackles (14 games)

Go deeper before lockout

Full projections and DVP for members, plus the multi builder for same-game analysis.

Lockout hub Multi builder

More this round: every fixture is listed on the Round 28 match previews page, all Round 28 predictions sit on one page, with deeper club data on the Rabbitohs and Knights team hubs.

Which club leaks points to which position across the whole round, matched to the players named opposite them: Round 28 matchup edge.

Every published play, graded on the Best Plays Tracker