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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Value Picks 2026

Where the market and our projections disagree. A positive gap means the market drafts a player later than our value says it should — a value pick. Negative gaps are reaches. Free and sortable.

snapshot 2026-08-25 · 210 players
PPR Value Board
210 players
#PlayerTeamPosADPADP rankVORVOR rankGapVolatility
17002
NO logo
NO
TE187.11624.477+85
Steady
25001
HOU logo
HOU
TE193.91680.085+83
Steady
311603
SEA logo
SEA
TE184.8159-4.891+68
Lottery
48210
WAS logo
WAS
TE186.1161-7.094+67
Lottery
58172
MIA logo
MIA
TE229.7208-54.1146+62
Lottery
65012
BAL logo
BAL
TE129.212113.767+54
Swing
710222
GB logo
GB
WR115.611123.459+52
Swing
88183
SF logo
SF
QB121.411517.964+51
Safe
99228
CAR logo
CAR
QB227.1199-57.4150+49
Safe
1011646
CAR logo
CAR
WR144.41310.083+48
Swing
1196
PIT logo
PIT
QB228.8203-64.3156+47
Safe
121466
KC logo
KC
TE92.49137.547+44
Safe
1312484
HOU logo
HOU
WR192.0167-24.2124+43
Lottery
144217
SF logo
SF
TE90.38938.046+43
Safe
159758
HOU logo
HOU
QB204.4176-35.3134+42
Safe
164943
SEA logo
SEA
QB176.4153-17.4112+41
Safe
1710213
LV logo
LV
WR202.8175-38.1136+39
Lottery
1812498
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE224.3195-72.3158+37
Lottery
194039
SEA logo
SEA
WR223.1193-66.4157+36
Lottery
205870
IND logo
IND
QB205.0177-43.1142+35
Safe
217021
PIT logo
PIT
RB85.08533.952+33
Swing
2212509
LAC logo
LAC
WR230.6209-101.6177+32
Lottery
2312522
TEN logo
TEN
QB213.2185-62.0153+32
Safe
2412545
NO logo
NO
QB181.4157-24.3125+32
Swing
258136
WAS logo
WAS
RB131.3122-3.790+32
Lottery
268228
PIT logo
PIT
RB73.17348.341+32
Safe
2713285
NYG logo
NYG
WR225.4197-85.9166+31
Lottery
285022
PHI logo
PHI
TE123.3117-0.086+31
Steady
298161
MIA logo
MIA
QB194.3169-39.1139+30
Swing
3013274
PIT logo
PIT
WR230.8210-111.5181+29
Lottery
315844
MIN logo
MIN
TE164.6145-20.6117+28
Steady
329500
IND logo
IND
WR107.01036.575+28
Safe
331479
IND logo
IND
WR197.7172-51.5145+27
Lottery
3411575
BUF logo
BUF
RB228.9204-108.2178+26
Lottery
353214
NE logo
NE
TE135.1125-9.499+26
Lottery
363163
DET logo
DET
QB132.8124-9.5100+24
Safe
378134
BUF logo
BUF
WR139.6128-12.9104+24
Steady
388142
IND logo
IND
WR101.9987.174+24
Safe
398131
NYG logo
NYG
TE108.91040.481+23
Lottery
405892
HOU logo
HOU
RB48.14966.127+22
Safe
416804
GB logo
GB
QB148.2135-17.6113+22
Safe
4211618
TB logo
TB
WR209.1181-77.7160+21
Lottery
439484
GB logo
GB
TE62.26245.742+20
Swing
4412492
DEN logo
DEN
WR227.2200-112.9182+18
Lottery
4512497
SEA logo
SEA
WR228.7202-114.8184+18
Lottery
468110
DAL logo
DAL
TE97.1953.778+17
Steady
4710859
DET logo
DET
TE59.65942.143+16
Safe
4812517
CHI logo
CHI
TE40.24075.424+16
Swing
497049
MIN logo
MIN
WR195.1170-64.0155+15
Lottery
507553
ATL logo
ATL
TE69.47030.055+15
Swing
517594
CAR logo
CAR
RB76.67719.762+15
Swing
528167
GB logo
GB
WR69.36932.554+15
Swing
539480
JAX logo
JAX
TE152.8137-23.6122+15
Steady
5412508
NYG logo
NYG
QB90.7906.076+14
Swing
5512519
CHI logo
CHI
WR52.45252.239+13
Swing
567611
NE logo
NE
RB81.38111.969+12
Swing
5711563
DEN logo
DEN
QB120.6114-10.4103+11
Safe
5811604
LV logo
LV
TE23.023111.612+11
Safe
5912518
IND logo
IND
TE47.74754.936+11
Swing
607569
HOU logo
HOU
WR25.12594.814+11
Safe
6112512
CLE logo
CLE
RB54.75440.744+10
Swing
6213287
ARI logo
ARI
RB26.72686.516+10
Swing
6312457
DAL logo
DAL
RB229.5207-138.3198+9
Lottery
6412469
CLE logo
CLE
RB188.2163-63.2154+9
Lottery
6513296
MIA logo
MIA
WR218.4189-109.6180+9
Lottery
668148
DET logo
DET
WR58.75836.349+9
Safe
6711610
MIA logo
MIA
WR200.7174-86.1167+7
Steady
6812540
TEN logo
TEN
WR229.4206-146.2199+7
Lottery
692449
WAS logo
WAS
WR113.6109-10.0102+7
Steady
708130
ARI logo
ARI
TE20.220102.013+7
Safe
719997
BAL logo
BAL
WR41.64258.135+7
Safe
7212481
NYG logo
NYG
RB43.44354.437+6
Swing
734033
LAC logo
LAC
TE206.8178-97.2172+6
Lottery
744046
KC logo
KC
QB106.7102-7.696+6
Safe
755927
WAS logo
WAS
WR55.15635.450+6
Safe
767526
DEN logo
DEN
WR46.54650.440+6
Safe
778180
LV logo
LV
WR183.8158-59.8152+6
Lottery
783294
DAL logo
DAL
QB78.1787.173+5
Safe
795872
SF logo
SF
WR138.2126-22.0121+5
Safe
808144
NO logo
NO
WR30.73067.625+5
Safe
818155
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB33.03365.828+5
Safe
829224
CIN logo
CIN
RB16.416111.611+5
Safe
839508
TEN logo
TEN
RB167.8149-48.7144+5
Lottery
849511
LAC logo
LAC
RB180.0156-58.1151+5
Lottery
8511624
KC logo
KC
WR139.1127-23.7123+4
Swing
8613268
BAL logo
BAL
WR229.2205-147.7201+4
Lottery
872216
SF logo
SF
WR61.06124.557+4
Safe
885849
MIN logo
MIN
QB159.8141-38.2137+4
Safe
897588
DAL logo
DAL
RB34.93563.531+4
Safe
9012487
LA logo
LA
TE207.7179-100.8176+3
Lottery
913198
BAL logo
BAL
RB20.82184.418+3
Safe
924034
SF logo
SF
RB5.75202.62+3
Safe
9312506
CLE logo
CLE
TE68.86816.166+2
Swing
944892
TB logo
TB
QB141.4129-25.4127+2
Safe
955850
GB logo
GB
RB31.53165.229+2
Safe
966790
CHI logo
CHI
RB55.05533.653+2
Safe
976813
IND logo
IND
RB7.07154.55+2
Safe
989226
MIA logo
MIA
RB12.712118.610+2
Safe
999488
SEA logo
SEA
WR6.16156.84+2
Safe
1006801
CIN logo
CIN
WR34.33462.233+1
Safe
1017547
DET logo
DET
WR8.78137.07+1
Safe
1027567
TB logo
TB
RB111.6108-15.6107+1
Lottery
1038138
BUF logo
BUF
RB10.310121.39+1
Safe
1049754
LAC logo
LAC
WR111.2107-15.0106+1
Steady
10511581
GB logo
GB
RB199.8173-97.81730
Lottery
1068151
KC logo
KC
RB19.91983.9190
Safe
1079221
DET logo
DET
RB1.71205.910
Safe
1089756
MIN logo
MIN
WR104.3101-9.81010
Lottery
1098150
LA logo
LA
RB29.02964.130-1
Safe
1109509
ATL logo
ATL
RB2.82197.83-1
Safe
1117525
PHI logo
PHI
WR36.73653.538-2
Safe
1128408
MIN logo
MIN
RB117.7113-19.6115-2
Swing
1139493
LA logo
LA
WR4.24150.16-2
Safe
1149494
DEN logo
DEN
WR219.5190-126.3192-2
Lottery
1158112
ATL logo
ATL
WR17.31781.220-3
Swing
11610229
KC logo
KC
WR27.32863.432-4
Swing
1174137
ARI logo
ARI
RB216.1187-123.2191-4
Lottery
1187543
NO logo
NO
RB44.94437.148-4
Safe
11912474
HOU logo
HOU
RB162.6143-55.5148-5
Lottery
12012489
DEN logo
DEN
RB79.7790.084-5
Lottery
12112529
NE logo
NE
RB53.35323.558-5
Swing
1225859
NE logo
NE
WR18.91875.523-5
Swing
1235967
TEN logo
TEN
RB83.584-3.389-5
Steady
1247564
CIN logo
CIN
WR3.43131.28-5
Safe
12512507
LAC logo
LAC
RB15.51579.221-6
Swing
1266786
DAL logo
DAL
WR9.1994.715-6
Safe
1276794
MIN logo
MIN
WR11.71184.417-6
Safe
1288121
NE logo
NE
WR132.2123-27.5129-6
Lottery
12911576
NYJ logo
NYJ
RB208.2180-116.4187-7
Lottery
13012455
KC logo
KC
RB226.3198-162.3205-7
Lottery
1319757
NO logo
NO
RB224.8196-148.5203-7
Lottery
13211559
ATL logo
ATL
QB227.9201-246.1209-8
Lottery
13311560
CHI logo
CHI
QB71.0712.779-8
Safe
13412490
JAX logo
JAX
RB62.46310.771-8
Swing
13512526
CAR logo
CAR
WR37.83740.145-8
Swing
13612536
HOU logo
HOU
WR213.7186-131.3194-8
Lottery
1377528
NYG logo
NYG
RB222.7192-146.8200-8
Lottery
1384866
PHI logo
PHI
RB13.51378.422-9
Safe
1396770
CIN logo
CIN
QB51.45120.360-9
Safe
1408676
SEA logo
SEA
WR146.2134-46.4143-9
Lottery
14110219
JAX logo
JAX
RB142.6130-41.0140-10
Lottery
14210236
BUF logo
BUF
TE89.288-8.498-10
Steady
1436783
CLE logo
CLE
WR190.3165-98.9175-10
Lottery
1446904
PHI logo
PHI
QB60.76011.070-10
Safe
1458137
DAL logo
DAL
WR24.92460.434-10
Safe
14612501
GB logo
GB
WR128.8120-31.4131-11
Lottery
14712527
LV logo
LV
RB13.91466.426-12
Swing
14812535
DET logo
DET
WR212.5184-136.4196-12
Lottery
14913288
TEN logo
TEN
RB209.1182-135.6195-13
Lottery
1507523
JAX logo
JAX
QB100.697-16.5110-13
Safe
15110232
ARI logo
ARI
WR83.183-8.097-14
Lottery
15213269
LV logo
LV
QB179.5155-93.4169-14
Swing
1535846
PIT logo
PIT
WR74.874-2.488-14
Steady
15411584
TB logo
TB
RB41.64129.256-15
Safe
1554037
TB logo
TB
WR95.393-16.3108-15
Swing
1564199
MIN logo
MIN
RB124.6118-33.8133-15
Steady
15711565
MIN logo
MIN
QB224.2194-341.3210-16
Lottery
15811566
WAS logo
WAS
QB64.0641.180-16
Safe
15912533
WAS logo
WAS
RB114.4110-24.6126-16
Swing
16012547
NE logo
NE
WR222.1191-197.0208-17
Lottery
16113337
KC logo
KC
RB195.2171-117.6188-17
Lottery
1629487
JAX logo
JAX
WR76.376-6.793-17
Steady
16312504
PIT logo
PIT
RB217.5188-171.1206-18
Lottery
1648146
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR45.54519.563-18
Safe
1659502
HOU logo
HOU
WR174.8152-94.4170-18
Lottery
1668205
DET logo
DET
RB185.2160-109.0179-19
Lottery
1674035
NO logo
NO
RB160.7142-80.9162-20
Lottery
1686819
PIT logo
PIT
WR102.799-21.9119-20
Steady
1698126
TEN logo
TEN
WR116.8112-31.7132-20
Steady
17011655
NYG logo
NYG
RB163.3144-84.2165-21
Lottery
17112476
NO logo
NO
RB211.9183-158.0204-21
Lottery
17213417
SF logo
SF
WR156.0139-80.7161-22
Lottery
1732133
LA logo
LA
WR50.0509.272-22
Steady
17411635
LAC logo
LAC
WR38.23819.861-23
Safe
17513346
CLE logo
CLE
WR165.6146-95.2171-25
Lottery
17613276
NYJ logo
NYJ
WR188.6164-122.5190-26
Lottery
1774984
BUF logo
BUF
QB22.32234.351-29
Safe
1789225
PHI logo
PHI
RB177.5154-113.7183-29
Lottery
17911586
LA logo
LA
RB103.1100-28.5130-30
Lottery
18011620
CHI logo
CHI
WR65.965-7.195-30
Swing
1814983
BUF logo
BUF
WR57.257-0.987-30
Swing
1828132
ARI logo
ARI
RB146.0133-80.9163-30
Lottery
1838154
ATL logo
ATL
RB153.2138-93.1168-30
Lottery
18413298
CLE logo
CLE
WR122.3116-54.6147-31
Lottery
18513320
ATL logo
ATL
WR191.4166-137.4197-31
Lottery
18613281
NO logo
NO
WR86.586-21.3118-32
Lottery
18711564
NE logo
NE
QB48.1480.082-34
Safe
188421
LA logo
LA
QB96.194-25.9128-34
Safe
18913305
LV logo
LV
RB172.7150-115.4185-35
Lottery
1905947
JAX logo
JAX
WR110.8106-41.6141-35
Steady
1914881
BAL logo
BAL
QB32.63213.468-36
Safe
1925045
DEN logo
DEN
WR80.880-20.5116-36
Steady
19311632
NYG logo
NYG
WR27.22716.465-38
Swing
19413330
NYJ logo
NYJ
TE150.8136-98.3174-38
Lottery
19513345
DEN logo
DEN
RB167.6148-115.9186-38
Lottery
1966797
LAC logo
LAC
QB82.382-22.0120-38
Safe
19711628
ARI logo
ARI
WR75.975-19.1114-39
Steady
19811631
JAX logo
JAX
WR72.072-17.3111-39
Steady
19912534
CHI logo
CHI
RB99.096-36.9135-39
Lottery
20013279
TEN logo
TEN
WR66.166-12.9105-39
Lottery
20113286
SEA logo
SEA
RB67.367-16.5109-42
Lottery
20211583
CAR logo
CAR
RB109.3105-56.0149-44
Lottery
20312493
LAC logo
LAC
TE125.2119-82.6164-45
Lottery
20412530
JAX logo
JAX
WR166.8147-127.0193-46
Lottery
2056806
DEN logo
DEN
RB94.992-38.7138-46
Steady
20612514
TB logo
TB
WR39.839-4.992-53
Swing
20713413
KC logo
KC
WR173.6151-171.2207-56
Lottery
2089753
SEA logo
SEA
RB145.0132-117.7189-57
Lottery
20913293
BAL logo
BAL
WR157.6140-148.0202-62
Lottery
21013294
PHI logo
PHI
WR87.587-76.2159-72
Lottery

How the gap is measured

We take value over the projected QB10 / RB30 / WR30 / TE15 (VOR) and rank every player two ways within this board: by ADP and by VOR. The gap is the ADP rank minus the VOR rank. A player our model ranks a round earlier than his ADP shows a positive gap — the market is letting him slide. A player the market pays up for shows a negative gap. Ranks are computed over the same joined pool, so a gap of zero means the market and our value agree exactly.

Cross-check with the tier cheat sheet, the live ADP board and the rest of the draft kit.

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