Loading matchups...

Welcome to The Stats Lab, your new home for advanced analysis and insights for fantasy sportsWelcome to The Stats Lab

NFL Fantasy Value Picks 2026

Where the market and our projections disagree. A positive gap means the market drafts a player later than our value says it should — a value pick. Negative gaps are reaches. Free and sortable.

PPR Half PPR Standard

snapshot 2026-08-25 · 219 players

Standard Value Board

219 players

#	Player	Team	Pos	ADP	ADP rank	VOR	VOR rank	Gap	Volatility
1	10213	LV	WR	187.5	205	-26.4	135	+70	Lottery
2	8180	LV	WR	197.3	218	-40.9	148	+70	Lottery
3	5870	IND	QB	197.1	217	-43.1	149	+68	Safe
4	4217	SF	TE	99.2	109	31.1	43	+66	Safe
5	4943	SEA	QB	168.4	186	-17.4	120	+66	Safe
6	1466	KC	TE	106.1	117	23.7	53	+64	Safe
7	10222	GB	WR	118.6	131	12.8	68	+63	Swing
8	9228	CAR	QB	197.9	219	-57.4	161	+58	Safe
9	8183	SF	QB	106.2	118	17.9	61	+57	Safe
10	8210	WAS	TE	136.9	150	-7.4	98	+52	Lottery
11	11603	SEA	TE	125.9	139	-0.9	88	+51	Lottery
12	11646	CAR	WR	131.8	146	-7.0	97	+49	Swing
13	12501	GB	WR	158.4	175	-23.3	126	+49	Lottery
14	12502	TEN	TE	152.6	168	-17.1	119	+49	Lottery
15	10219	JAX	RB	142.5	158	-15.7	113	+45	Lottery
16	10859	DET	TE	79.4	85	31.8	40	+45	Safe
17	12522	TEN	QB	191.2	210	-62.0	165	+45	Safe
18	3163	DET	QB	132.9	147	-9.5	102	+45	Safe
19	8131	NYG	TE	113.2	125	0.3	81	+44	Lottery
20	9484	GB	TE	70.7	77	42.6	33	+44	Swing
21	5012	BAL	TE	95.9	104	16.6	62	+42	Swing
22	9504	HOU	WR	164.2	180	-34.5	140	+40	Lottery
23	9758	HOU	QB	166.3	182	-35.3	142	+40	Safe
24	4981	TEN	WR	180.2	199	-56.8	160	+39	Lottery
25	8676	SEA	WR	161.9	178	-30.1	139	+39	Lottery
26	5872	SF	WR	138.4	152	-15.7	114	+38	Safe
27	7090	NYG	WR	194.4	214	-77.4	177	+37	Lottery
28	8142	IND	WR	93.6	101	15.1	64	+37	Safe
29	3294	DAL	QB	97.7	107	7.1	71	+36	Safe
30	13274	PIT	WR	193.6	213	-78.3	178	+35	Lottery
31	7002	NO	TE	102.6	113	2.0	78	+35	Steady
32	9502	HOU	WR	186.8	204	-66.3	169	+35	Lottery
33	5892	HOU	RB	48.3	50	64.0	16	+34	Safe
34	12545	NO	QB	147.5	163	-24.3	131	+32	Swing
35	8111	TB	TE	147.5	164	-24.5	132	+32	Lottery
36	11563	DEN	QB	121.1	134	-10.4	105	+29	Safe
37	12484	HOU	WR	126.3	140	-15.3	112	+28	Lottery
38	5844	MIN	TE	127.7	142	-16.0	115	+27	Steady
39	9494	DEN	WR	192.2	212	-88.0	185	+27	Lottery
40	9500	IND	WR	111.1	123	-6.3	96	+27	Safe
41	12517	CHI	TE	46.6	47	57.1	21	+26	Swing
42	4892	TB	QB	143.6	159	-25.4	133	+26	Safe
43	11618	TB	WR	165.4	181	-52.3	156	+25	Lottery
44	5022	PHI	TE	93.6	100	4.8	75	+25	Steady
45	5849	MIN	QB	154.5	170	-38.2	145	+25	Safe
46	7553	ATL	TE	72.9	79	23.1	54	+25	Swing
47	8167	GB	WR	64.2	69	31.0	44	+25	Swing
48	11624	KC	WR	121.5	135	-14.5	111	+24	Swing
49	12518	IND	TE	56.8	60	41.4	36	+24	Swing
50	12509	LAC	WR	178.7	197	-74.8	175	+22	Lottery
51	5001	HOU	TE	97.6	106	0.0	84	+22	Steady
52	8698	SF	TE	177.5	196	-72.7	174	+22	Lottery
53	11560	CHI	QB	91.7	97	2.7	76	+21	Safe
54	12536	HOU	WR	190.1	209	-90.7	188	+21	Lottery
55	9754	LAC	WR	110.1	122	-7.7	101	+21	Steady
56	6804	GB	QB	126.8	141	-17.6	121	+20	Safe
57	8408	MIN	RB	100.2	110	-2.6	91	+19	Swing
58	13317	TB	WR	196.2	216	-101.0	198	+18	Lottery
59	7021	PIT	RB	65.2	70	23.7	52	+18	Swing
60	12508	NYG	QB	83.6	91	6.0	74	+17	Swing
61	11604	LV	TE	30.2	29	65.3	14	+15	Safe
62	8110	DAL	TE	96.9	105	-2.6	90	+15	Steady
63	13269	LV	QB	188.5	206	-93.4	192	+14	Swing
64	9756	MIN	WR	98.9	108	-4.8	94	+14	Lottery
65	11625	NYJ	WR	162.2	179	-62.9	166	+13	Lottery
66	12512	CLE	RB	44.8	45	44.3	32	+13	Swing
67	4046	KC	QB	102.3	112	-7.6	99	+13	Safe
68	7594	CAR	RB	66.3	72	19.0	59	+13	Swing
69	8148	DET	WR	52.6	54	31.7	41	+13	Safe
70	9511	LAC	RB	148.2	165	-45.2	152	+13	Lottery
71	3214	NE	TE	91.9	98	-0.3	86	+12	Lottery
72	12492	DEN	WR	171.6	190	-80.7	179	+11	Lottery
73	12535	DET	WR	183.7	201	-93.0	190	+11	Lottery
74	7588	DAL	RB	32.1	32	56.5	22	+10	Safe
75	9997	BAL	WR	50.8	52	31.6	42	+10	Safe
76	13320	ATL	WR	185.1	203	-96.4	194	+9	Lottery
77	8136	WAS	RB	124.8	138	-23.5	129	+9	Lottery
78	8151	KC	RB	22.7	24	64.1	15	+9	Safe
79	8161	MIA	QB	139.9	155	-39.1	146	+9	Swing
80	12481	NYG	RB	41.3	42	41.8	34	+8	Swing
81	7569	HOU	WR	26.7	26	62.7	18	+8	Safe
82	8155	NYJ	RB	27.1	27	61.0	19	+8	Safe
83	6801	CIN	WR	35.8	37	48.8	30	+7	Safe
84	6904	PHI	QB	69.4	76	11.0	69	+7	Safe
85	7547	DET	WR	16.8	18	81.2	11	+7	Safe
86	8228	PIT	RB	51.9	53	29.6	46	+7	Safe
87	9224	CIN	RB	17.8	19	74.6	12	+7	Safe
88	2216	SF	WR	59.5	63	20.3	57	+6	Safe
89	5859	NE	WR	33.2	34	51.6	28	+6	Swing
90	8134	BUF	WR	120.2	133	-23.4	127	+6	Steady
91	11583	CAR	RB	143.7	160	-48.1	155	+5	Lottery
92	2449	WAS	WR	115.5	127	-20.2	122	+5	Steady
93	6783	CLE	WR	159.5	176	-70.5	172	+4	Lottery
94	6790	CHI	RB	47.1	49	29.9	45	+4	Safe
95	7525	PHI	WR	53.2	55	26.8	51	+4	Safe
96	9480	JAX	TE	103.7	114	-13.2	110	+4	Steady
97	5846	PIT	WR	73.3	80	2.5	77	+3	Steady
98	9488	SEA	WR	9.2	10	98.0	7	+3	Safe
99	12499	TEN	WR	184.8	202	-102.1	200	+2	Lottery
100	12506	CLE	TE	62.6	67	14.3	65	+2	Swing
101	5850	GB	RB	20.2	22	61.0	20	+2	Safe
102	6865	LA	TE	135.7	149	-40.2	147	+2	Lottery
103	11575	BUF	RB	167.3	184	-85.7	183	+1	Lottery
104	12457	DAL	RB	188.8	207	-111.2	206	+1	Lottery
105	3198	BAL	RB	7.4	7	100.1	6	+1	Safe
106	4034	SF	RB	4.9	4	150.4	3	+1	Safe
107	4866	PHI	RB	13.4	14	70.1	13	+1	Safe
108	9221	DET	RB	2.7	2	171.5	1	+1	Safe
109	12487	LA	TE	141.1	157	-55.6	157	0	Lottery
110	13298	CLE	WR	129.3	144	-37.8	144	0	Lottery
111	8121	NE	WR	116.6	128	-23.4	128	0	Lottery
112	8138	BUF	RB	5.1	5	112.5	5	0	Safe
113	9226	MIA	RB	8.0	8	95.7	8	0	Safe
114	9493	LA	WR	8.9	9	90.7	9	0	Safe
115	10236	BUF	TE	81.1	88	-1.3	89	-1	Steady
116	11597	NYG	TE	144.2	161	-57.5	162	-1	Lottery
117	13286	SEA	RB	80.0	86	-0.4	87	-1	Lottery
118	13346	CLE	WR	153.3	169	-66.5	170	-1	Lottery
119	6813	IND	RB	3.8	3	132.9	4	-1	Safe
120	8130	ARI	TE	21.7	23	54.6	24	-1	Safe
121	9509	ATL	RB	1.2	1	155.9	2	-1	Safe
122	12498	NYJ	TE	137.5	151	-45.7	153	-2	Lottery
123	12547	NE	WR	195.2	215	-133.3	217	-2	Lottery
124	5927	WAS	WR	55.6	58	18.7	60	-2	Safe
125	6770	CIN	QB	54.0	56	20.3	58	-2	Safe
126	7611	NE	RB	57.5	61	15.5	63	-2	Swing
127	7543	NO	RB	34.4	36	32.6	39	-3	Safe
128	421	LA	QB	117.6	130	-25.9	134	-4	Safe
129	7564	CIN	WR	6.6	6	84.5	10	-4	Safe
130	8150	LA	RB	12.8	13	63.6	17	-4	Safe
131	11579	NO	RB	189.8	208	-127.5	213	-5	Lottery
132	12533	WAS	RB	94.8	103	-12.0	108	-5	Swing
133	12519	CHI	WR	39.7	41	28.8	47	-6	Swing
134	12540	TEN	WR	174.6	193	-101.4	199	-6	Lottery
135	7526	DEN	WR	42.3	43	28.2	49	-6	Safe
136	8112	ATL	WR	19.1	21	52.1	27	-6	Swing
137	8144	NO	WR	31.2	31	35.5	37	-6	Safe
138	8137	DAL	WR	28.6	28	41.8	35	-7	Safe
139	11569	LA	RB	191.4	211	-140.3	219	-8	Lottery
140	13287	ARI	RB	15.2	17	53.0	25	-8	Swing
141	6786	DAL	WR	14.3	15	55.1	23	-8	Safe
142	11566	WAS	QB	65.7	71	1.1	80	-9	Safe
143	6794	MIN	WR	18.5	20	49.8	29	-9	Safe
144	9506	TB	RB	154.5	171	-82.0	180	-9	Lottery
145	12526	CAR	WR	37.5	38	28.4	48	-10	Swing
146	11643	MIA	RB	173.8	192	-105.4	203	-11	Lottery
147	12530	JAX	WR	157.4	174	-89.2	186	-12	Lottery
148	13293	BAL	WR	168.3	185	-100.0	197	-12	Lottery
149	9757	NO	RB	179.6	198	-121.9	210	-12	Lottery
150	13347	MIN	RB	175.7	194	-112.4	207	-13	Lottery
151	6803	SF	WR	176.7	195	-116.6	208	-13	Lottery
152	12507	LAC	RB	12.2	12	53.0	26	-14	Swing
153	4033	LAC	TE	130.6	145	-56.4	159	-14	Lottery
154	7049	MIN	WR	123.2	137	-43.7	151	-14	Lottery
155	9487	JAX	WR	74.4	81	-5.7	95	-14	Steady
156	10229	KC	WR	34.2	35	27.8	50	-15	Swing
157	11627	DEN	WR	170.5	189	-105.8	204	-15	Lottery
158	11628	ARI	WR	82.6	89	-10.3	104	-15	Steady
159	13276	NYJ	WR	150.9	166	-82.0	181	-15	Lottery
160	13301	WAS	WR	155.5	172	-90.7	187	-15	Lottery
161	7523	JAX	QB	94.6	102	-16.5	117	-15	Safe
162	8205	DET	RB	151.4	167	-85.1	182	-15	Lottery
163	12455	KC	RB	182.4	200	-132.8	216	-16	Lottery
164	12529	NE	RB	39.4	40	21.5	56	-16	Swing
165	13349	PHI	TE	139.8	154	-69.0	171	-17	Lottery
166	5967	TEN	RB	63.4	68	0.0	85	-17	Steady
167	6819	PIT	WR	107.5	119	-26.4	136	-17	Steady
168	11620	CHI	WR	67.6	73	-3.8	92	-19	Swing
169	12527	LV	RB	11.5	11	46.5	31	-20	Swing
170	10232	ARI	WR	75.2	82	-10.2	103	-21	Lottery
171	12469	CLE	RB	128.5	143	-61.2	164	-21	Lottery
172	7528	NYG	RB	169.8	188	-119.9	209	-21	Lottery
173	11584	TB	RB	32.3	33	23.0	55	-22	Safe
174	12490	JAX	RB	43.6	44	13.8	66	-22	Swing
175	13288	TEN	RB	166.7	183	-110.1	205	-22	Lottery
176	4984	BUF	QB	15.0	16	34.3	38	-22	Safe
177	9225	PHI	RB	146.5	162	-85.9	184	-22	Lottery
178	9508	TEN	RB	122.1	136	-55.9	158	-22	Lottery
179	11635	LAC	WR	46.8	48	7.0	72	-24	Safe
180	2133	LA	WR	45.6	46	8.3	70	-24	Steady
181	11435	SEA	RB	160.6	177	-104.0	202	-25	Lottery
182	11631	JAX	WR	78.9	84	-12.0	109	-25	Steady
183	8126	TEN	WR	105.4	116	-34.6	141	-25	Steady
184	11586	LA	RB	68.1	74	-7.7	100	-26	Lottery
185	12514	TB	WR	54.1	57	0.0	83	-26	Swing
186	12476	NO	RB	168.5	187	-128.2	214	-27	Lottery
187	12504	PIT	RB	172.7	191	-137.8	218	-27	Lottery
188	6797	LAC	QB	86.3	94	-22.0	123	-29	Safe
189	4037	TB	WR	88.4	95	-23.1	125	-30	Swing
190	11564	NE	QB	49.6	51	0.0	82	-31	Safe
191	4983	BUF	WR	58.5	62	-4.3	93	-31	Swing
192	8146	NYJ	WR	38.4	39	6.7	73	-34	Safe
193	5045	DEN	WR	71.9	78	-16.4	116	-38	Steady
194	12474	HOU	RB	104.9	115	-46.3	154	-39	Lottery
195	13405	WAS	RB	156.6	173	-125.2	212	-39	Lottery
196	11576	NYJ	RB	134.7	148	-90.9	189	-41	Lottery
197	13305	LV	RB	138.5	153	-97.3	195	-42	Lottery
198	4881	BAL	QB	23.4	25	13.4	67	-42	Safe
199	13279	TEN	WR	60.8	64	-11.9	107	-43	Lottery
200	13330	NYJ	TE	108.5	120	-58.3	163	-43	Lottery
201	4035	NO	RB	119.3	132	-75.1	176	-44	Lottery
202	4199	MIN	RB	84.7	92	-26.6	137	-45	Steady
203	7567	TB	RB	86.1	93	-27.6	138	-45	Lottery
204	11655	NYG	RB	109.5	121	-63.8	168	-47	Lottery
205	12489	DEN	RB	56.4	59	-10.5	106	-47	Lottery
206	11632	NYG	WR	30.3	30	1.5	79	-49	Swing
207	6806	DEN	RB	68.3	75	-22.7	124	-49	Steady
208	13281	NO	WR	62.4	66	-16.7	118	-52	Lottery
209	11647	LAC	RB	140.7	156	-122.5	211	-55	Lottery
210	12493	LAC	TE	83.1	90	-43.5	150	-60	Lottery
211	5947	JAX	WR	77.2	83	-35.8	143	-60	Steady
212	13345	DEN	RB	117.5	129	-95.5	193	-64	Lottery
213	12534	CHI	RB	61.2	65	-24.0	130	-65	Lottery
214	8132	ARI	RB	89.4	96	-63.0	167	-71	Lottery
215	13337	KC	RB	112.5	124	-97.6	196	-72	Lottery
216	9753	SEA	RB	100.9	111	-93.0	191	-80	Lottery
217	8154	ATL	RB	80.1	87	-72.4	173	-86	Lottery
218	11589	ARI	RB	114.3	126	-129.7	215	-89	Lottery
219	4137	ARI	RB	92.4	99	-102.5	201	-102	Lottery

How the gap is measured

We take value over the projected QB10 / RB30 / WR30 / TE15 (VOR) and rank every player two ways within this board: by ADP and by VOR. The gap is the ADP rank minus the VOR rank. A player our model ranks a round earlier than his ADP shows a positive gap — the market is letting him slide. A player the market pays up for shows a negative gap. Ranks are computed over the same joined pool, so a gap of zero means the market and our value agree exactly.

Cross-check with the tier cheat sheet, the live ADP board and the rest of the draft kit.

The free weekly cheat sheet

JT's best NRL + AFL calls, in your inbox before lockout every week.