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Welcome to The Stats Lab

NRL Round 22 Matchup Edge: Every Fixture, Every Position

8 games

Which club leaks points to which position, matched against the players actually named opposite them in Round 22. Free, and rebuilt every time the team lists move.

Round 22 has been played. The positional numbers below are current season-to-date, not what they were before these games.

The standouts in Round 22

Ranked by how far each club sits from the competition average at that position, not by raw points, so a tight position is not crowded out by a high-scoring one. One per game.

Storm logo

Storm edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Cooper Clarke (Second Row), Oryn Keeley (Second Row)

Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jarome Luai (Five-Eighth), Adam Doueihi (Halfback)

Dolphins logo

Dolphins fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (Fullback)

Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Oliver Pascoe (Hooker)

Cowboys logo

Cowboys fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Scott Drinkwater (Fullback)

Cowboys vs Roosters

Thursday Night · 30 July · Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Cowboys logo

Cowboys fullbacks vs Roosters

Toughest of 17

Roosters concede 55.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.2 below the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Scott Drinkwater (Fullback)

Roosters logo

Roosters hookers vs Cowboys

Softest of 17

Cowboys concede 57.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 6.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Reece Robson (Hooker)

Dragons vs Dolphins

Friday Evening · 31 July · WIN Stadium
Dolphins logo

Dolphins fullbacks vs Dragons

Softest of 17

Dragons concede 74.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.9 above the competition average of 64.5 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow (Fullback)

Dragons logo

Dragons wingers vs Dolphins

2nd toughest of 17

Dolphins concede 46.9 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.2 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Setu Tu (Winger), Tyrell Sloan (Winger)

Storm vs Bulldogs

Friday Night · 31 July · AAMI Park
Storm logo

Storm edge forwards vs Bulldogs

Toughest of 17

Bulldogs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 7.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Cooper Clarke (Second Row), Oryn Keeley (Second Row)

Bulldogs logo

Bulldogs centres vs Storm

Softest of 17

Storm concede 68.4 SuperCoach points a game to opposing centres, 9.7 above the competition average of 58.7 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Matt Burton (Centre), Enari Tuala (Centre)

Titans vs Warriors

Saturday Day · 1 August · Cbus Super Stadium
Titans logo

Titans hookers vs Warriors

Toughest of 17

Warriors concede 43.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 7.2 below the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Oliver Pascoe (Hooker)

Warriors logo

Warriors middle forwards vs Titans

Softest of 17

Titans concede 58.3 SuperCoach points a game to opposing middle forwards, 3.9 above the competition average of 54.4 across 66 player-games.

Named there: James Fisher-Harris (Prop), Mitchell Barnett (Prop), Erin Clark (Lock)

Panthers vs Raiders

Saturday Evening · 1 August · Glen Willow Oval
Raiders logo

Raiders wingers vs Panthers

3rd toughest of 17

Panthers concede 47.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing wingers, 10.1 below the competition average of 57.1 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jed Stuart (Winger), Xavier Savage (Winger)

Panthers logo

Panthers edge forwards vs Raiders

Softest of 17

Raiders concede 67.5 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.7 above the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Isaiah Papali'i (Second Row), Liam Martin (Second Row)

Broncos vs Knights

Saturday Night · 1 August · Suncorp Stadium
Broncos logo

Broncos fullbacks vs Knights

2nd softest of 17

Knights concede 73.6 SuperCoach points a game to opposing fullbacks, 9.1 above the competition average of 64.5 across 23 player-games.

Named there: Reece Walsh (Fullback)

Broncos logo

Broncos edge forwards vs Knights

2nd toughest of 17

Knights concede 58.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing edge forwards, 4.6 below the competition average of 62.8 across 46 player-games.

Named there: Xavier Willison (Second Row), Jordan Riki (Second Row)

Sharks vs Rabbitohs

Sunday Day · 2 August · Sharks Stadium
Rabbitohs logo

Rabbitohs halves vs Sharks

2nd toughest of 17

Sharks concede 52.0 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 7.2 below the competition average of 59.2 across 43 player-games.

Named there: Cody Walker (Five-Eighth), Ashton Ward (Halfback)

Sharks logo

Sharks hookers vs Rabbitohs

4th softest of 17

Rabbitohs concede 55.2 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 4.9 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Blayke Brailey (Hooker)

Wests Tigers vs Eels

Sunday Day · 2 August · CommBank Stadium
Wests Tigers logo

Wests Tigers halves vs Eels

Softest of 17

Eels concede 71.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing halves, 11.9 above the competition average of 59.2 across 44 player-games.

Named there: Jarome Luai (Five-Eighth), Adam Doueihi (Halfback)

Eels logo

Eels hookers vs Wests Tigers

2nd softest of 17

Wests Tigers concede 56.1 SuperCoach points a game to opposing hookers, 5.8 above the competition average of 50.3 across 22 player-games.

Named there: Tallyn Da Silva (Hooker)

How the edges are worked out

For each of the seven positional groups we take the SuperCoach points every club has conceded per game this season, then measure how far a club sits from the competition average at that position in standard deviations. Only clubs more than one deviation out are listed, so a position where every side is much of a muchness never produces a row. Players come from the published team lists, so an edge is only shown when someone is actually named opposite it. Bench and reserve names are excluded. The same numbers drive the full matchup strength table.

Projections, prop hit rates and the full DVP breakdown for every player are part of a 7-day free trial.

More this round: our call on every game in the Round 22 predictions and tips, fixtures and venues on the Round 22 hub, every upcoming call on the predictions hub, and the latest team-list moves in the Round 22 late mail.

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